Search
Now showing items 1-10 of 10
Macroeconomics, economic crisis and electoral outcomes: A national European pool
(2014-10)
An abundance of comparative survey research argues the presence of economic voting as an individual force in European elections, thereby refuting a possible ecological fallacy. But the hypothesis of economic voting at the ...
Political Sophistication and Vote Intention Switching
The Timing of Electoral Volatility in the 2009 German Election Campaign
(2014-09-01)
This article investigates the link between political sophistication and electoral volatility. Showing that there is disagreement in the literature on whether switching party preferences is related to low or high levels of ...
Economic Policy Voting and Incumbency: Unemployment in Western Europe
(2013-06)
The economic voting literature has been dominated by the incumbency-oriented hypothesis, where voters reward or punish government at the ballot box according to economic performance. The alternative, policy-oriented ...
Transfert de voix, flux électoraux et électeurs mobiles
(2014)
Ruth Dassonneville et Pierre Baudewyns révèlent que, derrière les pourcentages des résultats électoraux, se cachent bien des mouvements et transferts d’électeurs. Ils se penchent sur la « volatilité nette », c’est-à-dire ...
Electoral Volatility, Political Sophistication, Trust and Efficacy
A Study on Changes in Voter Preferences during the Belgian Regional Elections of 2009
(Springer, 2012-01)
In this article we investigate voter volatility and analyze the causes and motives of switching vote intentions. We test two main sets of variables linked to volatility in literature; political sophistication and ‘political ...
Voters and Candidates of the Future
The Intention for Electoral Participation among Adolescents in 22 European countries
(2013)
Within the literature there is a growing concern about lower voter turnout rates among young age cohorts. In this article we investigate the reported willingness to vote among 72,466 14-year old adolescents from 22 European ...
The economic voter and economic crisis
(2014-10)
Theories of economic voting have a long tradition in political science and continue to inspire a large group of scholars. Classical economic voting theory assumes a reward-and-punishment mechanism (Key, 1966). This mechanism ...
Partisan Dealignment in Germany: A rejoinder to Russell Dalton
(2014)
The work of Russell Dalton has undoubtedly played a seminal role in the study of the relation between political sophistication and partisan dealignment. We furthermore acknowledge the presence of a consensus on the occurrence ...
Punishing Local Incumbents for the Local Economy
Economic Voting in the 2012 Belgian Municipal Elections
(2016-03)
After decennia of research on economic voting, it is now established that the state of the economy affects voting behaviour. Nevertheless, this conclusion is the result of a focus on predominantly national-level economies ...
Election Forecasting under Opaque Conditions
A Model for Francophone Belgium, 1981-2010
(2012)
Election forecasting models assume retrospective economic voting and clear mechanisms of accountability. Previous research indeed indicates that incumbent political parties are being held accountable for the state of the ...