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Recently Added
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Dropouts rates in psychosocial interventions for people with both severe mental illness and substance misuse : a systematic review
(2021-08)Introduction : Plusieurs traitements psychosociaux pour les individus ayant à la fois un diagnostic de trouble psychotique et d’abus de substances ont été développés et étudiés. Cependant, les taux d’abandons des interventions chez cette population ... -
petit traité de conceptologie zen
(éditions@anthro, 2022) -
State breakdown and Army-Splinter Rebellions
(SAGE, 2022-07-03)In Afghanistan, Libya, Liberia and beyond, armed rebellions have begun when armies fell apart. When does this occur? This paper conducts a large-N analysis of these army-splinter rebellions, distinct from both non-military rebellions from below and ... -
L’effet de l’école sur les normes sociales dans le contexte du Nunavik
(2022-03-30)Les difficultés scolaires des jeunes Inuit du Nunavik sont une préoccupation de longue date pour les organismes de la région et pour les deux paliers de gouvernement. Ces difficultés s’inscrivent dans un ensemble de problèmes socioéconomiques avec ... -
Did you see it coming? Explaining the accuracy of voter expectations for district and (sub)national election outcomes in multi-party systems
(Elsevier, 2021-03-19)The expectations of voters regarding election outcomes appear to be mostly influenced by their own political preferences. This raises two important questions. First, once partisan predispositions have been accounted for, how much do other variables ... -
Playing the synthesizer with Canadian data : adding polls to a structural forecasting model
(Elsevier, 2020-07-04)Election forecasting has become a fixture of election campaigns in a number of democracies. Structural modeling, the major approach to forecasting election results, relies on ‘fundamental’ economic and political variables to predict the incumbent’s ... -
10 Downing Street: who’s next? Seemingly unrelated regressions to forecast UK election results
(Taylor and Francis, 2019-02-01)In recent years, the British polling industry has encountered difficulties in its attempts to measure voting intentions in important popular consultations, notably the referendum on Scottish independence, the 2015 general election and the EU membership ... -
A technocratic view of election forecasting : weighting citizens’ forecasts according to competence
(Oxford University Press, 2021-05-10)The present research note contributes to the (citizen) forecasting literature by leveraging vote expectation data from close to 3,200 district-level races in four countries (i.e., Canada, France, Germany, and Great Britain) in order to assess the ... -
Predicting in an (increasingly) unpredictable system? : forty years of election forecasting in France
(Palgrave Macmillan, 2022-02-22)In the last 40 years or so, scholars have proposed a vast array of models and approaches to predict election outcomes in a variety of democracies. Election forecasting has garnered increasing attention and has been the subject of multiple symposia and ... -
A prognostic tool to identify youth at risk of at least weekly cannabis use
(Springer, 2022-03-09)We developed and validated an 8-item prognostic tool to identify youth at risk of initiating frequent (i.e., at least weekly) cannabis use in the next year. The tool, which aims to identify youth who would benefit most from clinician intervention, ...
