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dc.contributor.authorMongrain, Philippe
dc.date.accessioned2022-08-01T12:06:28Z
dc.date.availableMONTHS_WITHHELD:12fr
dc.date.available2022-08-01T12:06:28Z
dc.date.issued2022-02-22
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1866/26733
dc.publisherPalgrave Macmillanfr
dc.subjectElectionsfr
dc.subjectForecastingfr
dc.subjectFrancefr
dc.subjectLeft–Right cleavagefr
dc.subjectMultipartismfr
dc.subjectRetrospective votingfr
dc.titlePredicting in an (increasingly) unpredictable system? : forty years of election forecasting in Francefr
dc.typeArticlefr
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversité de Montréal. Faculté des arts et des sciences. Département de science politiquefr
dc.identifier.doi10.1057/s41253-022-00171-3
dcterms.abstractIn the last 40 years or so, scholars have proposed a vast array of models and approaches to predict election outcomes in a variety of democracies. Election forecasting has garnered increasing attention and has been the subject of multiple symposia and special issues in political science journals. This article reviews the forecasting efforts that have been deployed in the case of France since pioneering work in the late 1970s and early 1980s and discusses the peculiarities of the French political system and their consequences as well as the challenges they create for election forecasting.fr
dcterms.isPartOfurn:ISSN:1476-3419fr
dcterms.isPartOfurn:ISSN:1476-3427fr
dcterms.languageengfr
UdeM.ReferenceFournieParDeposanthttps://doi.org/10.1057/s41253-022-00171-3fr
UdeM.VersionRioxxVersion acceptée / Accepted Manuscriptfr
oaire.citationTitleFrench politicsfr
oaire.citationVolume20fr
oaire.citationStartPage210fr
oaire.citationEndPage225fr


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