Browsing Titles index "International journal of forecasting"
Now showing items 1-2 of 2
-
Election Forecasting under Opaque Conditions
A Model for Francophone Belgium, 1981-2010
(2012)Election forecasting models assume retrospective economic voting and clear mechanisms of accountability. Previous research indeed indicates that incumbent political parties are being held accountable for the state of the economy. In this article we ... -
Playing the synthesizer with Canadian data : adding polls to a structural forecasting model
(Elsevier, 2020-07-04)Election forecasting has become a fixture of election campaigns in a number of democracies. Structural modeling, the major approach to forecasting election results, relies on ‘fundamental’ economic and political variables to predict the incumbent’s ...
