Parcourir Faculté des arts et des sciences – Département de science politique - Travaux et publications par sujet "Election forecasting"
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10 Downing Street: who’s next? Seemingly unrelated regressions to forecast UK election results
(Taylor and Francis, 2019-02-01)In recent years, the British polling industry has encountered difficulties in its attempts to measure voting intentions in important popular consultations, notably the referendum on Scottish independence, the 2015 general election and the EU membership ... -
Playing the synthesizer with Canadian data : adding polls to a structural forecasting model
(Elsevier, 2020-07-04)Election forecasting has become a fixture of election campaigns in a number of democracies. Structural modeling, the major approach to forecasting election results, relies on ‘fundamental’ economic and political variables to predict the incumbent’s ...