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Electoral Volatility, Political Sophistication, Trust and Efficacy
A Study on Changes in Voter Preferences during the Belgian Regional Elections of 2009
(Springer, 2012-01)
In this article we investigate voter volatility and analyze the causes and motives of switching vote intentions. We test two main sets of variables linked to volatility in literature; political sophistication and ‘political ...
Punishing Local Incumbents for the Local Economy
Economic Voting in the 2012 Belgian Municipal Elections
(2016-03)
After decennia of research on economic voting, it is now established that the state of the economy affects voting behaviour. Nevertheless, this conclusion is the result of a focus on predominantly national-level economies ...
Election Forecasting under Opaque Conditions
A Model for Francophone Belgium, 1981-2010
(2012)
Election forecasting models assume retrospective economic voting and clear mechanisms of accountability. Previous research indeed indicates that incumbent political parties are being held accountable for the state of the ...