Browsing Faculté des arts et des sciences by Author "McCausland, William J."
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Bayesian Analysis for a Theory of Random Consumer Demand: The Case of Indivisible Goods
McCausland, William J. (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2004)McCausland (2004a) describes a new theory of random consumer demand. Theoretically consistent random demand can be represented by a \"regular\" \"L-utility\" function on the consumption set X. The present paper is about Bayesian inference for regular ... -
Bayesian inference and model comparison for random choice structures
McCausland, William J.; MARLEY, A. A. J. (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2013-07)We complete the development of a testing ground for axioms of discrete stochastic choice. Our contribution here is to develop new posterior simulation methods for Bayesian inference, suitable for a class of prior distributions introduced by McCausland ... -
The Ghost in the Machine: Inferring Machine-Based Strategies from Observed Behavior
ENGLE-WARNICK, Jim; McCausland, William J.; MILLER, John H. (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2004)We introduce a procedure to infer the repeated-game strategies that generate actions in experimental choice data. We apply the technique to set of experiments where human subjects play a repeated Prisoner's Dilemma. The technique suggests that two types ... -
The Hessian Method (Highly Efficient State Smoothing, In a Nutshell)
McCausland, William J. (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2008-03) -
A New Approach to Drawing States in State Space Models
McCausland, William J.; Miller, Shirley; Pelletier, Denis (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2007-06) -
A Theory of Random Consumer Demand
McCausland, William J. (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2004)This paper presents a new theory of random consumer demand. The primitive is a collection of probability distributions, rather than a binary preference. Various assumptions constrain these distributions, including analogues of common assumptions about ... -
Time Reversibility of Stationary Regular Finite State Markov Chains
McCausland, William J. (Université de Montréal. Département de sciences économiques., 2004)We propose an alternate parameterization of stationary regular finite-state Markov chains, and a decomposition of the parameter into time reversible and time irreversible parts. We demonstrate some useful properties of the decomposition, and propose ...