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The loyalty trap : regime ethnic exclusion, commitment problems, and civil war duration in Syria and beyond
(Taylor and Francis, 2018-10-30)
This article examines the impact of the ethnic exclusiveness of
regimes on commitment problems and hence on civil conflict
duration. It argues that members of privileged in-groups in
highly exclusive regimes can be ...
Disloyalty and logics of fratricide in Civil War : executions of officers in republican Spain, 1936-19391
(Sage, 2018-05-14)
Violence within armed groups in civil wars is important and understudied. Linking literatures on civil war violence and military politics, this article asks when this fratricidal violence targets soldiers who try to defect, ...
The efficacy of ethnic stacking : military defection during uprisings in Africa
(Oxford University Press, 2019-05-10)
Does ethnic stacking in the armed forces help prevent military defection? Recent research, particularly in Africa and the Middle East, suggests so; by favoring in-groups, regimes can keep in-group soldiers loyal. In-group ...
Quebec 2018, a failure of the polls or else?
(Canadian Political Science Association, 2019-12-06)
The polls of the 2018 Quebec election forecast a close race between the two leading parties. The result, a clear victory of the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) over the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ), was clearly at odds with ...
Compulsory voting, inequality, and quality of the vote : the impact of compulsory voting on accountability and proximity voting
The impact of compulsory voting on inequality and the quality of the vote
(Routledge, 2017-01-18)
Democratic elections imply that the electorate holds incumbents accountable
for past performance, and that voters select the party that is closest to their own
political preferences. Previous research shows that both ...
Are the supporters of populist parties loyal voters? Dissatisfaction and stable voting for populist parties
(Cambridge University Press, 2018-09-17)
Scholars of electoral behaviour regularly link political dissatisfaction to two types of
behaviour: voting for populist parties and unstable voting behaviour. It is therefore not
surprising that the electorates of populist ...
The abiding voter : the lengthy horizon of retrospective evaluations
(Wiley, 2019-11-29)
Although the theory of retrospective voting receives wide support in the literature on voting
behavior, less agreement exists on voters’ time horizon when assessing the government’s
performance – i.e., whether voters are ...
Explaining the Trump vote : the effect of racist resentment and anti-immigrant sentiments
(Cambridge University Press, 2018-04-12)
The campaign leading to the 2016 US presidential election included a number of unconventional forms of campaign rhetoric. In earlier analyses, it was claimed that the Trump victory could be seen as a form of protest voting. ...
Marginalization and Transnationalizing Movements: How Does One Relate to the Other?
(Springer, 2013)
The main objective of this chapter is to address the following theoretical issue: How are the transnationalization and the marginalization processes related? We suggest that in order to understand more accurately how ...
10 Downing Street: who’s next? Seemingly unrelated regressions to forecast UK election results
(Taylor and Francis, 2019-02-01)
In recent years, the British polling industry has encountered difficulties in its attempts to measure
voting intentions in important popular consultations, notably the referendum on Scottish
independence, the 2015 general ...