Now showing items 1-10 of 10
Macroeconomics, economic crisis and electoral outcomes: A national European pool
An abundance of comparative survey research argues the presence of economic voting as an individual force in European elections, thereby refuting a possible ecological fallacy. But the hypothesis of economic voting at the ...
Transfert de voix, flux électoraux et électeurs mobiles
Ruth Dassonneville et Pierre Baudewyns révèlent que, derrière les pourcentages des résultats électoraux, se cachent bien des mouvements et transferts d’électeurs. Ils se penchent sur la « volatilité nette », c’est-à-dire ...
Political Sophistication and Vote Intention Switching
The Timing of Electoral Volatility in the 2009 German Election Campaign
This article investigates the link between political sophistication and electoral volatility. Showing that there is disagreement in the literature on whether switching party preferences is related to low or high levels of ...
Partisan Dealignment in Germany: A rejoinder to Russell Dalton
The work of Russell Dalton has undoubtedly played a seminal role in the study of the relation between political sophistication and partisan dealignment. We furthermore acknowledge the presence of a consensus on the occurrence ...
Voters and Candidates of the Future
The Intention for Electoral Participation among Adolescents in 22 European countries
Within the literature there is a growing concern about lower voter turnout rates among young age cohorts. In this article we investigate the reported willingness to vote among 72,466 14-year old adolescents from 22 European ...
Electoral Volatility, Political Sophistication, Trust and Efficacy
A Study on Changes in Voter Preferences during the Belgian Regional Elections of 2009
In this article we investigate voter volatility and analyze the causes and motives of switching vote intentions. We test two main sets of variables linked to volatility in literature; political sophistication and ‘political ...
Punishing Local Incumbents for the Local Economy
Economic Voting in the 2012 Belgian Municipal Elections
After decennia of research on economic voting, it is now established that the state of the economy affects voting behaviour. Nevertheless, this conclusion is the result of a focus on predominantly national-level economies ...
Economic Policy Voting and Incumbency: Unemployment in Western Europe
The economic voting literature has been dominated by the incumbency-oriented hypothesis, where voters reward or punish government at the ballot box according to economic performance. The alternative, policy-oriented ...
Election Forecasting under Opaque Conditions
A Model for Francophone Belgium, 1981-2010
Election forecasting models assume retrospective economic voting and clear mechanisms of accountability. Previous research indeed indicates that incumbent political parties are being held accountable for the state of the ...
The economic voter and economic crisis
Theories of economic voting have a long tradition in political science and continue to inspire a large group of scholars. Classical economic voting theory assumes a reward-and-punishment mechanism (Key, 1966). This mechanism ...