Faculté des arts et des sciences – Département de science politique - Travaux et publications: Soumissions récentes
Voici les éléments 1-10 de 133
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Policy change and information search : a test of the politics of information using regulatory data
(Springer, 2023-03-18)Some policy scholars insist that any policy change is difficult to achieve, while others argue that large change occurs more frequently than we imagine. The work of Baumgartner and Jones reconciles these arguments, suggesting that the extent to which ... -
The many faces of knowledge : Do science and traditional ecological knowledge coexist in federal assessments?
(Wiley, 2022-08-14)Traditional Ecological Knowledge is officially recognizedas a legitimate source of information when legislating onwildlife management at the federal level. This studyassesses the extent to which this kind of information ismobilized by administrators ... -
Does business influence government regulations? Newevidence from Canadian impact assessments
(Wiley, 2020-04-27)Regulatory impact assessments frequently embed stakeholder consultations in their design. Canada was one of the early adopters of such an approach and therefore has systematic documentation on the actors taking part in these consultations. This article ... -
Un monde désenchanté : essai sur la crise sociale et politique
(Presses de l'Université de Montréal, 2022)Titre cruel s’il en est, le monde désenchanté de Gérard Boismenu explique la désillusion, le découragement, la déception, le désabusement et la désespérance d’une partie importante de la population, celle qui vit la détérioration de ses conditions ... -
State breakdown and Army-Splinter Rebellions
(SAGE, 2022-07-03)In Afghanistan, Libya, Liberia and beyond, armed rebellions have begun when armies fell apart. When does this occur? This paper conducts a large-N analysis of these army-splinter rebellions, distinct from both non-military rebellions from below and ... -
Did you see it coming? Explaining the accuracy of voter expectations for district and (sub)national election outcomes in multi-party systems
(Elsevier, 2021-03-19)The expectations of voters regarding election outcomes appear to be mostly influenced by their own political preferences. This raises two important questions. First, once partisan predispositions have been accounted for, how much do other variables ... -
Playing the synthesizer with Canadian data : adding polls to a structural forecasting model
(Elsevier, 2020-07-04)Election forecasting has become a fixture of election campaigns in a number of democracies. Structural modeling, the major approach to forecasting election results, relies on ‘fundamental’ economic and political variables to predict the incumbent’s ... -
10 Downing Street: who’s next? Seemingly unrelated regressions to forecast UK election results
(Taylor and Francis, 2019-02-01)In recent years, the British polling industry has encountered difficulties in its attempts to measure voting intentions in important popular consultations, notably the referendum on Scottish independence, the 2015 general election and the EU membership ... -
A technocratic view of election forecasting : weighting citizens’ forecasts according to competence
(Oxford University Press, 2021-05-10)The present research note contributes to the (citizen) forecasting literature by leveraging vote expectation data from close to 3,200 district-level races in four countries (i.e., Canada, France, Germany, and Great Britain) in order to assess the ...
